Week 06 - Discussion
Question
Consider the following scenario:
You have just inherited a small island in the Bahamas. The island is near a favourite
fishing location, and you are considering two alternative investments.
• First, you could construct a boat landing that provides grounds for camping. You
estimate that the landing will require a £1,000 investment today and that it is
expected to generate cash flows of £1,000 per year, forever.
• Alternatively, you could invest £10,000 today and build a restaurant and ‘beer
garden’, which you believe will then generate cash flows of £4,000 per year,
forever.
You cannot undertake both businesses on the island (they are mutually exclusive), and
since both rely on tourists, you believe that the riskiness of each venture is identical
(you may assume this to be the case and that the associated required return is 20%).
A quick calculation shows that the IRR of the first alternative is 100% and that the IRR
of the second alternative is 40%. Hence, according to the IRR criterion, the first option is
preferable.
In approximately 1,000 words, address the following, each in a separate paragraph:
• Do you agree with the assessment?
• Provide alternative capital budgeting evaluations of the two projects and discuss
which method is the most reliable.
• Also discuss what other factors should be taken into consideration. Be sure to
articulate the strengths and weaknesses of each te


Solution
Introduction
Since
it is hard for the internal rate of
return to completely convey the choice of the kind of investment to the trail, I do not agree with the scenario in the
assessment. The reason as to why the internal rate of return cannot solely be a
determinant factor is because the IRR tool for making decisions is not the
right tool to gauge the reciprocally independent
projects as in the scenario (Atrill, McLaney and Harvey
2014, pg. 63). The tool used is useful
when rating individual projects. On the other hand, IRR usually overstates the equal yearly rates of return in which their
interim cash flows are invested for the
second time at a lesser rate than the earlier calculated IRR. A con associated
with IRR is that it does not consider the capital structure. Moreover, it often
gives multiple values in the occasions whereby there are differences in cash
flows.
Analysis
Alternative
Capital Budgeting Evaluations of the Two Projects
1.
Payback
period
In the course of applying this technique, cash flows are not discounted. When it comes to investment
one, the payback period is one year because
the project has an initial investment of
$ 1000. Also, this amount is expected to produce cash flows amounting to $1000 annually.
Therefore, in this method, it is going to take a year to identify the cash units that have been invested. Regarding the second investment, the duration for
payback will be two and a half years. The calculation for this case will be as
follows: The primary investment is $1000.
After two years, the cash flows will be $8000,
and in the next half year, the cash flow
accumulates $2000.
Conclusion and
Recommendation
When considering the two projects,
the most reliable method will be the first alternative. The reason for choosing
the first alternative is because it has
the lowest duration as compared to the second alternative.
2.
Net
Present Value
Net present value is another capital budgeting
evaluation that can be applied to the two projects. Here, the initial investment for the first alternative is
$1000. Since the total Present Value (PV) =Cash flow/Discounting rate (Atrill
& McLaney 2016, pg 23).
Therefore,
PV=$1000/0.2
=$5000
NPV
= (PV- Initial outlay)
= 5,000 – 1000
= $4,000
Regarding
the second alternative, the initial or rather primary investment is $10000
Total
PV= Cash flows/Discount rate
Therefore
= 4,000/.2
= $20,000
Net
Present Value is calculated by PV-Initial outlay= $20,000-$10000
=
$ 10,000
Conclusion and
Recommendation
When using this method, alternative two is the most
reliable as it has the highest net PV of $5000
3.
Profitability
Index (PI)
Profitability Index is also another alternative that
can be used in capital budgeting for the
two projects. In alternative one, PI=PV of cash flow/Prevent value of the cash
flow
=
$5,000/1000
= 5
On the other hand, Alternative two will be calculated
as PI = Present value of cash inflow/ Prevent value of cash outflow
= $20,000/$10,000
= 2
Conclusion and
Recommendation
Alternative one
will be the most reliable as it has a higher PI than alternative 2, 5 and two
respectively. Considering all the above methods, Net Present Value is the most
reliable technique of capital budgeting evaluation. The reason for choosing
this approach is because it involves cash
flows throughout the entire process.
Moreover, it also considers the discounting cash flows in the course of
presenting values.
Other
Factors to be taken into Consideration
1.
Political
and cultural factors
Studies have shown that politics greatly contribute towards either the success
or failure of business operations. Culture too is critical especially in
determining demand, and thus the two
factors should be evaluated before venturing into a business (Atrill &
McLaney 2016, pg 162).
2.
Risks
involved
In deciding on the best option for investment, capital
security is a critical issue to be considered so that all the necessary risks are avoided (Atrill & McLaney 2016, pg
162).
Net
Present Value
Strengths
NPV has several strengths. First, investment options
can be easily compared if the method is used. It allows for comparison as it
discounts all the opportunities for investment using an equal rate. Also, this
technique can inform on profit or losses
(Biondi & Zambon 2013, pg. 44).
Weaknesses
On the other hand, it is
also associated with a few risks. One of the risks is that the method is
sensitive when it comes to discount rates. Also, different level of risks affects the method (Atrill & McLaney 2016, pg 25).
Payback
period technique
Strengths
The method is simple and can be easily used in evaluating projects providing faster returns
(Atrill & McLaney 2016, pg 30).
Weaknesses
Some of the weaknesses
associated with this method are that it
does not consider the time value of
capital. Also, the technique does not consider cash flows from a project that
might start after the primary investment
recovery (Atrill & McLaney 2016, pg 31).
Profitability
Index
Strengths
The method has several strengths. One of the strengths
is that it is easy to understand and also deriving its calculation. Also, it
employs the use of cash flows and does not account for the returns. Moreover,
this method takes into consideration the analysis of all cash flows through the
business transaction process (Mumba, 2013, pg. 11).
Weaknesses
Despite the strengths, the method has several weaknesses. First, it needs forecasting cash flows, and secondly, it is challenging to
calculate PI when two projects are having
varying useful life (Mumba, 2013, pg.
11).
References
Atrill, P., & McLaney, E. J. (2016). Accounting
and finance for non-specialists 5th edn.
Harlow: Pearson.
Atrill, P., McLaney, E. and Harvey, D., 2014. Accounting: An
Introduction, 6/E (Vol. 6). Pearson Higher
Education AU.
Biondi,
Y., & Zambon, S. (2013). Accounting and business economics: insights
from national traditions. New York, Routledge. http://site.ebrary.com/id/10643532.
Mumba,
Cryford. (2013). Understanding Accounting and Finance Theory and Practice.
Trafford on Demand Pub.




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